2024 : 11 : 21
S.M.T.K. MirMostafaee

S.M.T.K. MirMostafaee

Academic rank: Associate Professor
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2796-4427
Education: PhD.
ScopusId:
HIndex:
Faculty: Faculty of Mathematical Sciences
Address: Department of Statistics‎, ‎Faculty of Mathematical Sciences‎, ‎University of Mazandaran‎, P.O‎. ‎Box 47416-1467‎, ‎Babolsar, ‎Iran‎
Phone: 01135302428

Research

Title
Statistical inference for a two-parameter distribution with a bathtub-shaped or increasing hazard rate function based on record values and inter-record times with an application to COVID-19 data
Type
JournalPaper
Keywords
Two-parameter bathtub-shaped distribution, inter-record times, predictive distribution, COVID-19 data, Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation
Year
2024
Journal Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation
DOI
Researchers Zahra Khoshkhoo Amiri ، S.M.T.K. MirMostafaee

Abstract

In this paper, we study the problem of estimation and prediction for a two-parameter distribution with a bathtub-shaped or increasing fail￾ure rate function based on lower records and inter-record times, and based on lower records without considering the inter-record times. The maximum likelihood and Bayesian approaches are employed to estimate the unknown parameters. As it seems that the Bayes esti￾mates cannot be derived in a closed form, the Metropolis-Hastings within Gibbs algorithm is implemented to obtain the approximate Bayes point estimates. Bayesian prediction of a future record value is also discussed. A simulation study is conducted to evaluate the proposed point and interval estimators. A real data set consisting of COVID-19 data from Iran is analyzed to illustrate the application of the theoretical results of the paper. Moreover, a simulated data example is presented. Several concluding remarks end the paper.