09 بهمن 1401
محمود يحيي زاده فر

محمود یحیی زاده فر

مرتبه علمی: استاد
نشانی: بابلسر ،شهرک دانشگاه، خیابان شریعتی، خیبان محبوبی7 ، منزل شخصی
تحصیلات: دکترای تخصصی / مدیریت مالی
تلفن: 01135284760
دانشکده: دانشکده علوم اقتصادی و اداری

مشخصات پژوهش

عنوان Stock Trading Signal Prediction Using a Combination of K-Means Clustering and Colored Petri Nets (Case Study: Tehran Stock Exchange)
نوع پژوهش مقاله چاپ شده
کلیدواژه‌ها
Colored Petri Nets, K-Means Clustering, Technical Analysis, Stock Trading Signal.
مجله Journal of Advances in Computer Research
شناسه DOI
پژوهشگران علی قربانی (نفر اول) ، محمود یحیی زاده فر (نفر دوم) ، سید علی نبوی چاشمی (نفر سوم)

چکیده

Stock markets are attractive in nature for investors to gain profit. However decision making about suitable points of trading is a challenging issue, due to various properties of stocks, unstable values and data frequencies. Predicting stock price movements and discovering turning points using technical indicators, for the sake of data frequency reduction in short-term, is a preferred choice in comparison with price forecasting which commonly uses fundamental analysis. In this ambit, this paper proposes a Colored Petri Net model combined with k-means clustering decision making rules to predict stock trading signal, namely buy, sell, and hold, enhanced by a strength coefficient in a 7-step process. The paper focuses on Tehran stock exchange as case study in a two-year time interval. Simulation results implies superiority of proposed model against other state-of-the-art approaches, i.e. artificial neural networks, decision tree, and linear regression, with the accuracy rate of 88% in term of correctly classifying.