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َAhmad Jafari Samimi

َAhmad Jafari Samimi

Academic rank: Professor
ORCID:
Education: PhD.
ScopusId:
Faculty: Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences
Address: University of Mazandaran Babolsar, Iran
Phone: 011-35302552

Research

Title
The international spillover of china’s monetary policy: a case study of a developing country
Type
JournalPaper
Keywords
Monetary policy; external shocks; Structural Vector Autoregressive ; trade pattern; spillover
Year
2018
Journal China Economic Journal
DOI
Researchers َAhmad Jafari Samimi ، Seyed Peyman Asadi ، Zahra Sheidaee

Abstract

This paper aimed to investigate the evidence on the transmission of China’s monetary policy shocks to macroeconomic variables in Iran. Since 1990, China has become one of the main trading partners of Iran; therefore, it is expected that China’s macroeconomic shocks have some consequences on Iran’s Economy. In this study, a structural vector autoregressive model is used to explore such a transmission. The findings of the study reveal that the China’s monetary policy changes significantly affect the Consumer Price Index (CPI) as Iran’s CPI meaningfully increases with the expansion of China’s money supply. Furthermore, it was found that Iran’s other economic variables, including the real GDP, real effective exchange rate, and interest rate, do not significantly reflect the China’s monetary shocks; even though confirm the expected sign and direction